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West Ham have added-time goal disallowed as Arsenal go five clear
When the dust settles on theWest Ham Unitedgoal that wascontroversially ruled outagainstArsenal. the cold reality is they are now probably facing relegation.
Data experts Opta giveWest Hamonly a 12% chance of survival, withTottenham Hotspurthe only team they can now catch.
The Hammers thought they had rescued a draw at home toArsenalon Sunday - with Callum Wilson firing home in added time.
But after a seismic video assistant referee review. the goal was ruled out for a Pablo foul on goalkeeper David Raya - a decisionWest Hamwere furious with.
It meant Leandro Trossard's 83rd-minute goal was the winner.
As well as edging the Gunners closer to the title, Mikel Arteta's side did a favour to fierce rivalsTottenham.
Spurs now have the chance to move four points clear with two games to go when they hostLeeds United. who can now relax as they as well asNottingham Forestare safe, on Monday (20:00 BST).
"It's going to be tough," Hammers boss Nuno Espirito Santo - who started the season at Forest - told BBC Sport.
"It's not in our hands. We fight for it and we will keep on fighting. It is our responsibility - we represent a huge club. it's our obligation to go for it in these last two games."
West Ham's last season outside the top flight was 2011-12.
Wolves and Burnley are down - and Nottingham Forest and Leeds are now safe
West Hamcould feasibly be relegated next Sunday - with a week of the Premier League season to go.
That would happen if Spurs beatLeedson Monday and the Hammers lose atNewcastle Unitednext weekend.
Spurs. who are one point above the Hammers with a game in hand, will be safe if they win two of their final three games.
After playingLeeds, they faceChelseaaway and thenEvertonat home on the final day.
West Ham. who hostLeedson the final day, will need to pick up at least two points more than Spurs because of a significantly inferior goal difference.
WolvesandBurnley's relegations have already been confirmed.
"We played well," said Nuno after theArsenaldefeat.
"The character of the boys, the noise of the stadium. We knew the position that we are in and the boys gave it a proper fight.
"This is what we will try to do until the last minute of the season. Two games to go, it is our job to bounce back and fight and know that anything can still happen.
"Of course it is hard but we have been competing well, especially at London Stadium. The energy of the crowd was contagious for the boys. We're going to give it a go. This group of players will react."
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Lack of consistency in officiating upsetting - Espirito Santo
The Hammers. if they go down, will have paid the price for stronger teams around the bottom of the Premier League this season.
They are on 36 points with two games to spare -. even if they lose both their remaining games, that would be the highest total to be relegated in a decade.
Newcastlewent down with 37 points in 2015-16. In the previous two seasons nobody got relegated with 30 points or more. Just two years ago Forest stayed up with 32 points.
Since the Premier League moved to 20 teams in 1995-96, 36 points has been the average needed for safety.
Unfortunately for Nuno andWest Ham, the teams above them started picking up points at the key stage of the season.
The Hammers' own form is not poor - they are 11th in the six-game form table.
But Forest top that table -. are unbeaten in eight games - andLeedsare fifth despite only playing five games in that time. They are unbeaten in six matches.
Spurs have won their last two matches under new manager Roberto de Zerbi.
Hammers captain Jarrod Bowen said: "It's going to be tough. We never say never at this club. We have two games left. We did a lot of good things on Sunday. We have to win."
There was a bit of a managerial merry-go-round at the bottom of the table too.
Forest axed Nuno in September, with the Portuguese quickly taking over atWest Ham, who had sacked Graham Potter.
Forest then appointed Ange Postecoglou, who had been with troubled Spurs last season,. dismissed him before replacing him with Sean Dyche - who was then shown the door too.
The man who kept Forest up was Vitor Pereira, who had been sacked byWolvesin November.
Spurs replaced Postecoglou in the summer with Thomas Frank, but he was sacked -. interim Igor Tudor also left - before they landed on De Zerbi, who has guided his new team out of the relegation zone.
Rob Edwards could not keepWolvesup, whileBurnleydid not part ways with Scott Parker until after they were relegated.
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